CRU举办《第21届全球铝年会 (World Aluminium Conference 2016)》

2016年5月9日 8:00 至 2016年5月11日 18:00 ，CRU在 上海·上海威斯汀大酒店·黄浦区河南中路88号举办《第21届全球铝年会 (World Aluminium Conference 2016)》。

会议通知

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CRU主办的第21届World Aluminium Conference将于2016年5月9日至11日、在上海Westin Bund举行。

World Aluminium Conference是冶炼、回收、压延、挤型、交易、原料、采购、技术、资金筹措等相关组织干部齐聚一堂的会议，可听到高品质的演讲，绝佳的交流活动及探索潜在的商业机会，在铝相关产业中获得了高度评价。  

了解   运输、建筑、包装及电线电缆行业的未来需求

洞悉   中国产能过剩现状及未来产能关闭情况

探知   汇率变动对中国 2016 年出口的影响

分析   2016 年石油、煤炭、铝行业形势，预判通胀或通缩的可能性

确定  当前库存水平，探究库存水平对 2016 年铝市场的影响

掌握  各地铝市场升水差异

CRU 铝业大会与国际铝业协会会员峰会同期同地举行，为您提供更多与行业领军企业交流的机会。

会议名称：第21届全球铝年会 (World Aluminium Conference 2016)

会议时间：2016年5月9-11日

会议地点：上海威斯汀大酒店

会议日程 （最终日程以会议现场为准）

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15:00 报到手续

15:00 展示会开幕

15:00 CRU主办 铝市场工作坊

18:00 招待酒会 by Alba

08:00 登记报到

08:00 展示会开幕

09:00 主题演讲 ― 铝业界的挑战与机会

Will Chinese aluminium demand contract more than anticipated?
What opportunities will growth in the transport sector present?
Will Chinese producers restrain production growth?
What is the outlook for production costs?
What strategies will producers adopt to survive and thrive in these highly competitive markets?
What are the key advantages of low carbon primary aluminium?
How much more capacity will be added by expansions of smelters in Shandong, Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia?
Will LME price drop low enough to deliver more supply cut backs

Ao Hong, President, Chalco
Lv Zhengfeng, Deputy Manager, Nanshan Aluminum
Senior Executive, RUSAL
Wan Ling, Assistant Chief Representative China Office & Head of Asia, Aluminum, CRU

10:25 Q&A

10:30 休息

11:00 Supply & Power

How will Chinese control overcapacity in the future?
What is the outlook for power costs in China?
The Paris Climate Change Summit of December 2015: is it relevant to the global aluminum industry? If so, how?
To what extent will currently idled capacity in China restart if prices improve?
What are the prospects for delay in the ramp up of projects in India, Malaysia, Canada and Russia?
Will there be further closures outside of China?
Where will new greenfield and brownfield capacity in China sit on the global cost curve?

Ian Roper, Macquarie Group Limited
Dr Fiona Solomon, Executive Director, Aluminium Stewardship Initiative

12:25 Q&A

12:30 午餐

14:00 Bauxite and Alumina

To what extent will alumina curtailments support price?
Will Malaysia lengthen its bauxite export ban?
Examining the bauxite market balance and price projections.
What is the outlook for Chinese bauxite production and its relationship with Malaysia? What bauxite sourcing options does China have in the future?
What is the outlook for high grade CPC availability?

Andrew Wood, Group Executive Strategy & Development, Alumina Limited
Guanghui Lang, Board Chair, Sunstone Development. Co. Ltd
Michael Insulan, Managing Consultant, Aluminium CRU

15:00 中国的「新标准」替铝屑市场可能带来的影响

Overview of global scrap availability beyond 2015 and an assessment of the key determinants of scrap usage
What impact will the drive to increase scrap content in downstream products have on primary aluminium demand?
China is a scrap importer, but for how long?

Michael Lion, President, Lion Consulting Asia Ltd, and Everwell Resources Ltd

15:55 Q&A

16:00 休息

16:30 全球交易趋势

What is the outlook for further trade defense measures in the US?
Will China gain market economy status in the US and Europe - what would the impact be for the aluminum market?
Will Chinese producers be successful in having the export tax removed on primary ingot

17:10 Q&A

17:15 第一天结束

08:00 登记报到

08:00 展示会开幕

09:00 总体经济趋势的预测

What is the outlook credit costs and the Chinese banking sector?
What is the outlook for consumer led growth in China in coming years?
Analysing the outlook for the USD, Euro and the Renminbi?
Examining growth projections in developed and emerging regions
What is the outlook for global oil prices?
What is the outlook for Chinese industrial production in 2016?

09:30 需求 ― 世界各地区展望

Assessing the challenges and opportunities in the Chinese and Middle Eastern construction market
Examining packaging market trends in Asia, North America and Europe
What is the outlook for aluminium intensive vehicle production in the USA?
Analysing the outlook in the aerospace market
What are the prospects for aluminium consumption growth in Europe, Russia and Brazil?
Examining the outlook for Indian and Chinese wire and cable demand
How much aluminium consumption will China account for between 2015 and 2020?
What is the outlook in the ASEAN market?
To what extent and in which regions will aluminium continue to gain market share from copper in conductors and steel in transportation?
What is the outlook for warehouse demand for aluminium?

Corporate Management Team Member, SAPA

10:40 Q&A

10:45 休息

11:15 价个预测 ― 铝价格低下

Forecasting aluminium price between 2017 and 2020
What is the outlook for warehouse demand for aluminium?
Will LME measures like queue-based rent capping and an increase in the minimum daily load-out rate reduce premiums to even lower levels or will reductions be offset by closures in the US market?
What is the outlook for the Renimbi and Chinese primary and semi-finished exports?
How will US, European and Japanese premiums perform relative to one another?
What is the outlook for the LME forward curve? Will we see greater levels of volatility in 2016?
Funds are increasingly exiting long positions and waiting for the right moment to increase short positions - to what extent will this reduce price?
What is the extent of metal stocks and what impact will these exert on the market?
Analysing the outlook for coal, oil and production costs

Wang Feihong, Senior Analyst, China Minmetals Non-Ferrous Metals Co. Ltd
David Wilson, Director, Metals Research and Strategy, Citi Research

12:55 Q&A

13:00 午餐

14:30 年会闭幕

会议嘉宾 （最终出席嘉宾以会议现场为准）

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文献军

中国有色金属行业协会

副会长

敖宏

中国铝业股份有限公司

总裁

郎光辉

索通发展股份有限公司

董事长

吕正风

南山铝业股份有限公司

副总经理

Andrew Wood

澳大利亚氧化铝公司

战略规划部总监

王飞虹

中国五矿有色金属股份有限公司

首席分析师

MichaelInsulan

CRU

铝部管理咨询师

Paul Williams

CRU

铝部经理

万玲

CRU

铝部亚洲区研究总监兼中国办公室首代助理

Michael Lion

Lion 亚洲咨询公司

总裁

Ian Roper

麦格理集团

部门主管

Fiona Solomon

铝行业管理委员会

常务董事

DavidWilson

花旗研究

金属研究和战略部总监

Sola Adebiyi

CRU

高级分析师

Edward Meir

美国福四通集团

高级大宗商品咨询师

会议门票

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RMB 4,200

报名截止时间：2016年5月5日

费用说明：中国与会者报名享尽三折优惠 US$650 （原价US$2,100）会前提供Invoice。

*报名方案包括：通行证、歇息茶点、午餐、会议文件。

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